Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAS Gabes to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceAS Gabes or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
AS Gabes vs Mégrine preview and prediction
The match
Mégrine travel to Gabes Municipal Stadium in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT) to face AS Gabes. AS Gabes are 27th with 2 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Mégrine sit 10th on 11 points (in the top half).
Form guide
AS Gabes's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Stade Tunisien 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Mégrine's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Bouselem 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mégrine arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for AS Gabes and 0.7 for Mégrine. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AS Gabes 63%, draw 21%, Mégrine 16%.
Safer route: AS Gabes or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AS Gabes to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AS Gabes 1–0 Mégrine. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AS Gabes63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Mégrine16%fair 6.26 · @4.00
2.36Expected goals
1.68AS Gabes xG
0.67Mégrine xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: AS Gabes 1.7 – 0.7 Mégrine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Gabes to win✗
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
AS Gabes or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Gabes / FT AS Gabes✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
AS Gabes – last 6
LLLLLD
13 May
vs Stade Tunisien
0–1
L
8 May
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ US Monastirienne
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs US Ben Guerdane
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Club Africain
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ ES Metlaoui
2–2
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mégrine – last 6
LDDLWL
11 May
@ Bouselem
1–2
L
1 May
vs BS Bouhajla
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Sporting Ben Arous
1–1
D
13 Apr
@ CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
29 Mar
@ Menzel Bourguiba
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs US Tataouine
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Gabes and Mégrine.
Our pick is AS Gabes to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win AS Gabes vs Mégrine?
On our numbers AS Gabes have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mégrine 16%.
How many goals will there be in AS Gabes vs Mégrine?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Gabes vs Mégrine?
Our predicted score is AS Gabes 1–0 Mégrine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AS Gabes vs Mégrine?
AS Gabes vs Mégrine (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gabes Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
