SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W preview and prediction
The match
Bayern Munich W travel to Estadio da Tapadinha in the UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 30 September (20:00 WAT) to face SL Benfica W. SL Benfica W are 12th with 3 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while Bayern Munich W sit 7th on 5 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SL Benfica W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Juventus W 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bayern Munich W's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Borussia Monchengladbach W 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.0 for SL Benfica W and 2.5 for Bayern Munich W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: SL Benfica W 14%, draw 16%, Bayern Munich W 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bayern Munich W to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: SL Benfica W 1–2 Bayern Munich W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SL Benfica W14%fair 7.00 · @9.00
Draw16%fair 6.23 · @5.50
Bayern Munich W70%fair 1.44 · @1.20
3.50Expected goals
1.02SL Benfica W xG
2.48Bayern Munich W xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
1–18%
0–38%
0–17%
From our goals model: SL Benfica W 1.0 – 2.5 Bayern Munich W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern Munich W to win✓
70%
1.44
1.20
Double chance
Bayern Munich W or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Bayern Munich W ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern Munich W / FT Bayern Munich W✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
SL Benfica W – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Sep
@ Juventus W
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Rio Ave W
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Racing Power W
3–0
W
10 May
@ Rio Ave W
1–0
W
1 May
vs Sporting CP W
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Torreense W
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bayern Munich W – last 6
WDWWWW
27 Sep
@ Borussia Monchengladbach W
2–1
W
22 Sep
vs Manchester City W
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs FC Koln W
5–2
W
14 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen W
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs SC Freiburg W
4–1
W
31 Aug
vs Mainz 05 W
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SL Benfica W and Bayern Munich W.
What is the prediction for SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our pick is Bayern Munich W to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W?
On our numbers SL Benfica W have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bayern Munich W 70%.
How many goals will there be in SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our predicted score is SL Benfica W 1–2 Bayern Munich W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W?
SL Benfica W vs Bayern Munich W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio da Tapadinha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.