Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarcelona W to win ✓72% · @1.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Roma W vs Barcelona W preview and prediction
The match
Roma W host Barcelona W in the UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadio Tre Fontane. Roma W are 17th with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom three), while Barcelona W sit 1st on 9 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Roma W's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Sassuolo W 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Barcelona W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Edf Logrono W 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barcelona W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.0 for Roma W and 2.5 for Barcelona W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roma W 15%, draw 13%, Barcelona W 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Roma W 1–2 Barcelona W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roma W15%fair 6.53 · @21.00
Draw13%fair 7.81 · @10.00
Barcelona W72%fair 1.39 · @1.07
3.50Expected goals
1.01Roma W xG
2.49Barcelona W xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Roma W 1.0 – 2.5 Barcelona W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona W to win✓
72%
1.39
1.07
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Barcelona W ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.59
–
Form
Roma W – last 6
WDDWWL
27 Sep
@ Sassuolo W
3–1
W
23 Sep
@ OH Leuven W
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Juventus W
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Sassuolo W
7–1
W
5 Sep
vs Fiorentina W
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sassuolo W
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barcelona W – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Sep
@ Edf Logrono W
2–0
W
23 Sep
vs Paris FC W
5–2
W
18 Sep
@ Deportivo Alavés W
6–0
W
12 Sep
vs Atletico Madrid W
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Sevilla W
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Granad. Tenerife W
5–0
W
4.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roma W and Barcelona W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Roma W vs Barcelona W?
On our numbers Roma W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Barcelona W 72%.
How many goals will there be in Roma W vs Barcelona W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roma W vs Barcelona W?
Our predicted score is Roma W 1–2 Barcelona W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Roma W vs Barcelona W?
Roma W vs Barcelona W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Fontane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
