Double chanceParis Saint Germain W or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Paris Saint Germain W vs OH Leuven W preview and prediction
The match
Paris Saint Germain W host OH Leuven W in the UEFA Champions League Women on Thursday 1 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Campus PSG. Paris Saint Germain W are 9th with 5 points from 4 games (in the top half), while OH Leuven W sit 17th on 2 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain W's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Real Madrid W 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
OH Leuven W's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Club Brugge W 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Paris Saint Germain W and 0.8 for OH Leuven W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris Saint Germain W 68%, draw 20%, OH Leuven W 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain W 2–1 OH Leuven W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris Saint Germain W68%fair 1.48 · @1.15
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @6.50
OH Leuven W12%fair 8.22 · @12.00
3.00Expected goals
2.18Paris Saint Germain W xG
0.82OH Leuven W xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain W 2.2 – 0.8 OH Leuven W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain W to win✓
68%
1.48
1.15
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain W or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain W ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain W / FT Paris Saint Germain W✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Paris Saint Germain W – last 6
DWWWDD
22 Sep
@ Real Madrid W
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Nantes W
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Strasbourg W
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Lens W
2–0
W
2 Sep
vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ Eintracht Frankfurt W
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
OH Leuven W – last 6
DDWDWW
26 Sep
vs Club Brugge W
1–1
D
23 Sep
vs Roma W
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Standard Liege W
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Genk W
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Gent W
6–1
W
2 Sep
vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris Saint Germain W and OH Leuven W.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain W vs OH Leuven W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain W vs OH Leuven W?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and OH Leuven W 12%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain W vs OH Leuven W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain W vs OH Leuven W?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain W 2–1 OH Leuven W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain W vs OH Leuven W?
Paris Saint Germain W vs OH Leuven W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campus PSG.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
