Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Manchester City W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester City W to win ✗62% · @1.60
Double chanceManchester City W or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W preview and prediction
The match
Real Madrid W travel to Manchester Regional Arena in the UEFA Champions League Women on Thursday 1 October (20:00 WAT) to face Manchester City W. Manchester City W are 7th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Real Madrid W sit 8th on 6 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Manchester City W's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Charlton Athletic W 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Real Madrid W's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Real Sociedad W 5–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Manchester City W and 0.8 for Real Madrid W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manchester City W 62%, draw 23%, Real Madrid W 15%.
Safer route: Manchester City W or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Manchester City W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Manchester City W 1–0 Real Madrid W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manchester City W62%fair 1.62 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.90
Real Madrid W15%fair 6.77 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.91Manchester City W xG
0.84Real Madrid W xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Manchester City W 1.9 – 0.8 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City W to win✗
62%
1.62
1.60
Double chance
Manchester City W or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Manchester City W ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Manchester City W – last 6
WDWWWW
26 Sep
@ Charlton Athletic W
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Bayern Munich W
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Liverpool W
4–2
W
13 Sep
@ Aston Villa W
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Birmingham City W
3–1
W
31 May
@ Brighton W
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Madrid W – last 6
WDWWDW
26 Sep
@ Real Sociedad W
5–3
W
22 Sep
vs Paris Saint Germain W
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Valencia W
3–1
W
11 Sep
@ Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Eibar W
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Ajax W
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City W and Real Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Manchester City W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Manchester City W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Madrid W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Manchester City W 1–0 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W?
Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Manchester Regional Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
