Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Defensor Sporting to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33
Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia preview and prediction
The match
Plaza Colonia travel to face Defensor Sporting in the Copa Uruguay on Wednesday 30 September (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
Defensor Sporting's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Danubio 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Plaza Colonia's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Atenas 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Defensor Sporting and 0.6 for Plaza Colonia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensor Sporting 60%, draw 20%, Plaza Colonia 21%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Defensor Sporting to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Defensor Sporting 1–0 Plaza Colonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensor Sporting60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.30
Plaza Colonia21%fair 4.87 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.39Defensor Sporting xG
0.61Plaza Colonia xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Defensor Sporting 1.4 – 0.6 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensor Sporting to win✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.29
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensor Sporting / FT Defensor Sporting✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.33
–
Form
Defensor Sporting – last 6
WLWDDL
27 Sep
vs Danubio
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Club Nacional
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Maldonado
1–0
W
9 Sep
@ Cerro Largo
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Central Espanol
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Atletico Torque
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 6
DDLWWL
27 Sep
@ Atenas
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Paysandu
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Rentistas
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Oriental
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensor Sporting and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Defensor Sporting to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Defensor Sporting have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Plaza Colonia 21%.
How many goals will there be in Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Defensor Sporting 1–0 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cerro Largo1
Rentistas0