Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Largo to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceCerro Largo or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.76
Cerro Largo vs Rentistas preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Largo host Rentistas in the Copa Uruguay on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Cerro Largo's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rentistas's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Uruguay Montevideo 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Rentistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Cerro Largo and 0.4 for Rentistas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro Largo 66%, draw 22%, Rentistas 12%.
Safer route: Cerro Largo or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerro Largo to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cerro Largo 1–0 Rentistas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Largo66%fair 1.51 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
Rentistas12%fair 8.48 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.55Cerro Largo xG
0.45Rentistas xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.6 – 0.4 Rentistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Largo to win✓
66%
1.51
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Cerro Largo or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Largo / FT Cerro Largo✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.76
–
Form
Cerro Largo – last 6
LDDLDL
26 Sep
vs Club Nacional
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Central Espanol
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Defensor Sporting
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Atletico Torque
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Liverpool Montevideo
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ Plaza Colonia
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rentistas – last 6
WLWWWD
26 Sep
@ Uruguay Montevideo
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Oriental
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Plaza Colonia
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Colón
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Fenix
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ CA River Plate
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro Largo and Rentistas.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
Our pick is Cerro Largo to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rentistas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–0 Rentistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
Cerro Largo vs Rentistas (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensor Sporting0
Plaza Colonia1