Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpezia to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceSpezia or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Spezia vs Livorno preview and prediction
The match
Livorno travel to Stadio Alberto Picco in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Wednesday 28 October (18:00 WAT) to face Spezia.
Form guide
Spezia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Latina 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Livorno's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Sambenedettese 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Spezia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Spezia 2–0 Livorno.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Spezia and 0.8 for Livorno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spezia 64%, draw 21%, Livorno 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Spezia 2–0 Livorno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spezia64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
Livorno14%fair 7.02 · @4.60
2.88Expected goals
2.04Spezia xG
0.85Livorno xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Spezia 2.0 – 0.8 Livorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Spezia vs Livorno?
On our numbers Spezia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Livorno 14%.
How many goals will there be in Spezia vs Livorno?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spezia vs Livorno?
Our predicted score is Spezia 2–0 Livorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Spezia vs Livorno?
Spezia vs Livorno (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dolomiti Bellunesi0
Desenzano Calvina1
Athletic Carpi3
Ravenna3
Campobasso FC2
Latina0