Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Athletic Carpi vs Ravenna prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Athletic Carpi to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.5 – 1.8 Ravenna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ravenna shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 33% for Athletic Carpi.
Athletic Carpi have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Ravenna have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. Ravenna come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.5 for Athletic Carpi, 1.8 for Ravenna). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.23. For a bigger price, Athletic Carpi to win at 3.25 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ravenna to win ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ravenna / FT Ravenna ✗ | 27% | 3.68 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.16 | – |
Form
Athletic Carpi – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Alcione | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Lumezzane | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Pergolettese | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ PRO Vercelli | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Arzignano Valchiampo | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Novara | 2–2 | D |
Ravenna – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Vis Pesaro | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Spezia | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Campobasso FC | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Pianese | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Gubbio | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Atalanta II | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Ravenna.
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Latina0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Ravenna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Ravenna?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ravenna 46%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Ravenna?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Athletic Carpi vs Ravenna?
Athletic Carpi vs Ravenna (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.