Rops host SalPa in the Ykkönen on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:15 (WAT) at Keskuskentta. Rops are 2nd with 48 points from 27 games (in the top four), while SalPa sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rops's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to PKKU 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
SalPa's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Tampere United 6–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
SalPa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished Rops 2–2 SalPa. Across their last 2 meetings Rops have won 0, SalPa 0, with 2 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Rops and 1.8 for SalPa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rops 41%, draw 21%, SalPa 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Rops 1–1 SalPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rops41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
SalPa38%fair 2.60 · @2.55
3.65Expected goals
1.86Rops xG
1.79SalPa xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Rops 1.9 – 1.8 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rops vs SalPa?
On our numbers Rops have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SalPa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Rops vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rops vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is Rops 1–1 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Rops vs SalPa?
Rops vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Keskuskentta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
