Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC jazz to win ✓50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81
TPV vs FC jazz preview and prediction
The match
The Ykkönen sees TPV take on FC jazz on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass. TPV are 10th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while FC jazz sit 6th on 40 points (in the top half).
Form guide
TPV's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Inter Turku II 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC jazz's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to VJS 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC jazz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 July 2026, finished FC jazz 4–0 TPV.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.4 for TPV and 1.9 for FC jazz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 65%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: TPV 31%, draw 19%, FC jazz 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: TPV 1–2 FC jazz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TPV31%fair 3.22 · @2.60
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
FC jazz50%fair 1.99 · @2.10
3.30Expected goals
1.42TPV xG
1.88FC jazz xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: TPV 1.4 – 1.9 FC jazz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win TPV vs FC jazz?
On our numbers TPV have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC jazz 50%.
How many goals will there be in TPV vs FC jazz?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TPV vs FC jazz?
Our predicted score is TPV 1–2 FC jazz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is TPV vs FC jazz?
TPV vs FC jazz (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.