Savoia host Sorrento in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Savoia's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Cosenza 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sorrento's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Inter U23 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Savoia and 1.1 for Sorrento. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Savoia 45%, draw 22%, Sorrento 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Savoia 1–1 Sorrento. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Savoia45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Sorrento34%fair 2.98 · @2.75
2.34Expected goals
1.28Savoia xG
1.05Sorrento xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Savoia 1.3 – 1.1 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Savoia to win✓
45%
2.24
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Savoia / FT Savoia✓
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
Savoia – last 6
DLWDLD
24 Oct
vs Cosenza
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Audace Cerignola
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs Inter U23
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ SS Monopoli
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Cavese
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Casarano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 6
DDLWLL
24 Oct
@ Inter U23
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Casertana
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Scafatese
2–3
L
3 Oct
vs Casarano
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Foggia
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Bari
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Savoia and Sorrento.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Savoia vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Savoia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sorrento 34%.
How many goals will there be in Savoia vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Savoia vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Savoia 1–1 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Savoia vs Sorrento?
Savoia vs Sorrento (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Potenza2
Bari1
Team Altamura0
Gubbio0