Value bet: Bari to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBari to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.60
Potenza vs Bari preview and prediction
The match
Potenza host Bari in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Form guide
Potenza's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Team Altamura 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Bari's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Casertana 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Potenza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 September 2026, finished Bari 0–0 Potenza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Potenza and 1.3 for Bari. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Potenza 37%, draw 24%, Bari 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Bari to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Potenza 1–1 Bari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Potenza37%fair 2.70 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Bari39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
2.50Expected goals
1.23Potenza xG
1.27Bari xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Potenza 1.2 – 1.3 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Potenza vs Bari?
On our numbers Potenza have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bari 39%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Bari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs Bari?
Our predicted score is Potenza 1–1 Bari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs Bari?
Potenza vs Bari (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Team Altamura0
Gubbio0
Savoia2
Sorrento0