Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Lahti to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLahti to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceLahti or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.29
Lahti vs Turku PS preview and prediction
The match
The Veikkausliiga sees Lahti take on Turku PS on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Lahden Stadion. Lahti are 1st with 39 points from 27 games, while Turku PS sit 3rd on 32 points.
Form guide
Lahti's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to SJK 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Turku PS's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to FF Jaro 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Lahti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 June 2026, finished Lahti 0–0 Turku PS. Across their last 2 meetings Lahti have won 0, Turku PS 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Lahti and 0.5 for Turku PS. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lahti 63%, draw 24%, Turku PS 12%.
Safer route: Lahti or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Lahti to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lahti or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lahti 1–0 Turku PS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lahti63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.70
Turku PS12%fair 8.07 · @4.33
2.13Expected goals
1.59Lahti xG
0.54Turku PS xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Lahti 1.6 – 0.5 Turku PS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Lahti or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lahti vs Turku PS?
On our numbers Lahti have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Turku PS 12%.
How many goals will there be in Lahti vs Turku PS?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lahti vs Turku PS?
Our predicted score is Lahti 1–0 Turku PS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lahti vs Turku PS?
Lahti vs Turku PS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
