Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Ilves vs SJK preview and prediction
The match
Ilves host SJK in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Tammela Stadium. Ilves are 2nd with 38 points from 27 games, while SJK sit 4th on 27 points.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Mariehamn 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
SJK's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Lahti 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished Ilves 2–2 SJK. Across their last 3 meetings Ilves have won 1, SJK 0, with 2 draws and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Ilves and 1.0 for SJK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 61%, draw 15%, SJK 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ilves to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ilves 1–0 SJK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.89 · @3.60
SJK25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
2.81Expected goals
1.81Ilves xG
1.00SJK xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.8 – 1.0 SJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ilves to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ilves vs SJK?
On our numbers Ilves have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and SJK 25%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs SJK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs SJK?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–0 SJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs SJK?
Ilves vs SJK (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
