Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Lahti to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Ilves vs Lahti preview and prediction
The match
Lahti travel to Tammelan Stadion in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 12 September (17:00 WAT) to face Ilves. Ilves are 2nd with 38 points from 27 games, while Lahti sit 1st on 39 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat FF Jaro 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lahti's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Mariehamn 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lahti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Ilves 1–0 Lahti. Across their last 3 meetings Ilves have won 2, Lahti 1, with 0 draws and 4.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Ilves and 1.2 for Lahti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 44%, draw 21%, Lahti 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Lahti to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Ilves 1–1 Lahti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Lahti36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.63Expected goals
1.40Ilves xG
1.23Lahti xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.4 – 1.2 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ilves vs Lahti?
On our numbers Ilves have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lahti 36%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Lahti?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Lahti?
Ilves vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
