Value bet: Turku PS to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTurku PS to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Mariehamn vs Turku PS preview and prediction
The match
Turku PS travel to face Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). Mariehamn are 6th with 19 points from 27 games, while Turku PS sit 3rd on 32 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mariehamn's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Lahti 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Turku PS's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with SJK 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Turku PS 3–0 Mariehamn.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Mariehamn and 1.3 for Turku PS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mariehamn 37%, draw 23%, Turku PS 41%.
Value angle: Turku PS to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 77% chance. Predicted score: Mariehamn 0–1 Turku PS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mariehamn37%fair 2.74 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Turku PS41%fair 2.45 · @2.62
2.48Expected goals
1.20Mariehamn xG
1.28Turku PS xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.2 – 1.3 Turku PS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Turku PS 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 0–1 Turku PS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
Mariehamn vs Turku PS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
