Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaringá to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Maringá vs Floresta preview and prediction
The match
Floresta travel to face Maringá in the Serie C on Saturday 10 October (21:00 WAT). Maringá are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Floresta sit 3rd on 5 points.
Form guide
Maringá's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Santa Cruz 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Floresta's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Botafogo PB 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Maringá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Floresta 0–1 Maringá. Across their last 2 meetings Maringá have won 1, Floresta 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Maringá and 0.6 for Floresta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maringá 65%, draw 24%, Floresta 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maringá to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maringá 1–0 Floresta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maringá65%fair 1.53 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
Floresta11%fair 9.49 · @5.50
2.44Expected goals
1.83Maringá xG
0.61Floresta xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.8 – 0.6 Floresta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Maringá to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Maringá vs Floresta?
On our numbers Maringá have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Floresta 11%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Floresta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Floresta?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–0 Floresta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Floresta?
Maringá vs Floresta (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
