Value bet: Santa Cruz to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Cruz to win ✗43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo PB host Santa Cruz in the Serie C on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Botafogo PB are 4th with 5 points from 6 games, while Santa Cruz sit 2nd on 11 points.
Form guide
Botafogo PB's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Floresta 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Santa Cruz's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Maringá 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Cruz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Santa Cruz 1–0 Botafogo PB. Across their last 2 meetings Botafogo PB have won 0, Santa Cruz 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Botafogo PB and 1.1 for Santa Cruz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Botafogo PB 33%, draw 24%, Santa Cruz 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Santa Cruz to win at 2.75 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Botafogo PB 1–1 Santa Cruz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo PB33%fair 3.00 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.75
Santa Cruz43%fair 2.35 · @2.75
1.98Expected goals
0.90Botafogo PB xG
1.08Santa Cruz xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Botafogo PB 0.9 – 1.1 Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Botafogo PB have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Cruz 43%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Botafogo PB 1–1 Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
