Maringá travel to face Santa Cruz in the Serie C on Saturday 3 October (21:00 WAT). Santa Cruz are 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, while Maringá sit 1st on 11 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santa Cruz's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Floresta 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maringá's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Botafogo PB 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Maringá 0–1 Santa Cruz. Across their last 2 meetings Santa Cruz have won 1, Maringá 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Santa Cruz and 1.1 for Maringá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Cruz 41%, draw 26%, Maringá 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santa Cruz 1–1 Maringá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Cruz41%fair 2.47 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.70
Maringá33%fair 3.01 · @2.80
2.30Expected goals
1.22Santa Cruz xG
1.08Maringá xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz 1.2 – 1.1 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Maringá?
On our numbers Santa Cruz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Maringá 33%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz 1–1 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz vs Maringá?
Santa Cruz vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
