Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Cruz to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceSanta Cruz or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.87
Santa Cruz vs Floresta preview and prediction
The match
Santa Cruz host Floresta in the Serie C on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Santa Cruz are 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, while Floresta sit 3rd on 5 points.
Form guide
Santa Cruz's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Maringá 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Floresta's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Botafogo PB 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Santa Cruz and 0.5 for Floresta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Cruz 59%, draw 28%, Floresta 13%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santa Cruz to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Santa Cruz 1–0 Floresta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Cruz59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.80
Floresta13%fair 7.55 · @5.80
1.93Expected goals
1.42Santa Cruz xG
0.51Floresta xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–015%
1–111%
2–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz 1.4 – 0.5 Floresta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Cruz to win✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Double chance
Santa Cruz or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Cruz / FT Santa Cruz✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.87
–
Form
Santa Cruz – last 6
WWDWLD
12 Sep
@ Maringá
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Botafogo PB
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Caxias
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Maranhão
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Botafogo PB
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Floresta – last 6
WLWWWL
12 Sep
@ Botafogo PB
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Maringá
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Ituano
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Volta Redonda
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Cruz and Floresta.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
Our pick is Santa Cruz to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
On our numbers Santa Cruz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Floresta 13%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz 1–0 Floresta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
Santa Cruz vs Floresta (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
