Value bet: Persela Lamongan to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersela Lamongan to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86
RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan preview and prediction
The match
Persela Lamongan travel to Pakansari Stadium in the Liga 2 on Saturday 17 October (09:30 WAT) to face RANS Nusantara.
Form guide
RANS Nusantara's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Persipura Jayapura 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Persela Lamongan's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Deltras 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for RANS Nusantara and 1.8 for Persela Lamongan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Value angle: Persela Lamongan to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: RANS Nusantara 1–2 Persela Lamongan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RANS Nusantara32%fair 3.15 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Persela Lamongan48%fair 2.10 · @2.30
3.19Expected goals
1.41RANS Nusantara xG
1.78Persela Lamongan xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: RANS Nusantara 1.4 – 1.8 Persela Lamongan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persela Lamongan to win✗
48%
2.10
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persela Lamongan / FT Persela Lamongan✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Form
RANS Nusantara – last 5
WWLDW
9 Oct
@ Persipura Jayapura
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ PSBS Biak Numfor
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Deltras
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dejan
3–3
D
13 Sep
vs Persiba Balikpapan
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Persela Lamongan – last 6
DWWWWL
11 Oct
vs Deltras
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Barito Putera
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
6–0
W
19 Sep
@ Persiba Balikpapan
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Persis Solo
2–0
W
3 May
@ Tornado Pekanbaru
0–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RANS Nusantara and Persela Lamongan.
What is the prediction for RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
On our numbers RANS Nusantara have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Persela Lamongan 48%.
How many goals will there be in RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
Our predicted score is RANS Nusantara 1–2 Persela Lamongan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Pakansari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Semen Padang1
PSMS Medan1
PSGC Ciamis0