Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan preview and prediction
The match
PSMS Medan travel to Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim in the Liga 2 on Saturday 17 October (09:30 WAT) to face Semen Padang.
Form guide
Semen Padang's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Persikad Depok FC 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
PSMS Medan's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to PSPS 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PSMS Medan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Semen Padang and 1.4 for PSMS Medan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Semen Padang 37%, draw 24%, PSMS Medan 40%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Semen Padang 1–1 PSMS Medan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Semen Padang37%fair 2.73 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
PSMS Medan40%fair 2.52 · @2.45
2.66Expected goals
1.30Semen Padang xG
1.36PSMS Medan xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Semen Padang 1.3 – 1.4 PSMS Medan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSMS Medan to win✗
40%
2.52
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSMS Medan / FT PSMS Medan✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Semen Padang – last 6
LLWDWL
11 Oct
@ Persikad Depok FC
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs PSPS
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ PSGC Ciamis
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs PSIS Semarang
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Persiraja Banda Aceh
1–0
W
23 May
@ Persija
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
PSMS Medan – last 6
LWWWDL
11 Oct
@ PSPS
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Persikad Depok FC
4–0
W
27 Sep
@ Bekasi City
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Persiku Kudus
6–0
W
13 Sep
@ Sumsel United
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Persija
1–4
L
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Semen Padang and PSMS Medan.
What is the prediction for Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
On our numbers Semen Padang have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PSMS Medan 40%.
How many goals will there be in Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
Our predicted score is Semen Padang 1–1 PSMS Medan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
RANS Nusantara1
Persela Lamongan0
PSGC Ciamis0
PSIS Semarang0