Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Marathon to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Lobos Upnfm take on CD Marathon on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. Lobos Upnfm are 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while CD Marathon sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Platense FC 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
CD Marathon's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Juticalpa 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
CD Marathon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Lobos Upnfm and 1.4 for CD Marathon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lobos Upnfm 30%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Lobos Upnfm 1–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lobos Upnfm30%fair 3.30 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
CD Marathon48%fair 2.10 · @2.20
2.44Expected goals
1.04Lobos Upnfm xG
1.40CD Marathon xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.0 – 1.4 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Marathon to win✗
48%
2.10
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Lobos Upnfm – last 6
WWLLLD
18 Sep
@ Platense FC
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Atlético Choloma
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Real Espana
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Juticalpa
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CD Motagua
1–4
L
16 Aug
vs Estrella Roja
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CD Marathon – last 6
LLWDWW
20 Sep
@ Juticalpa
2–3
L
18 Sep
@ LD Alajuelense
1–3
L
14 Sep
vs CD Olimpia
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs LD Alajuelense
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Estrella Roja
5–0
W
29 Aug
@ Génesis
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lobos Upnfm and CD Marathon.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 48%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon?
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estrella Roja0