Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61
CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma preview and prediction
The match
CD Motagua host Atlético Choloma in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Atlético Choloma sit 9th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Real Espana 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlético Choloma's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Estrella Roja 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Atlético Choloma 1–3 CD Motagua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.1 for CD Motagua and 0.6 for Atlético Choloma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 41%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 73%, draw 17%, Atlético Choloma 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Motagua to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: CD Motagua 2–0 Atlético Choloma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua73%fair 1.37 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @5.50
Atlético Choloma10%fair 9.81 · @8.50
2.64Expected goals
2.06CD Motagua xG
0.58Atlético Choloma xG
41%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.1 – 0.6 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Choloma 10%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma?
CD Motagua vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estrella Roja0