Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Lobos Upnfm or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lobos Upnfm to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLobos Upnfm to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceLobos Upnfm or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.16
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Lobos Upnfm take on Atlético Choloma on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. Lobos Upnfm are 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Atlético Choloma sit 9th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Real Espana 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Atlético Choloma's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Olancho 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Lobos Upnfm 1–2 Atlético Choloma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Lobos Upnfm and 0.8 for Atlético Choloma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lobos Upnfm 64%, draw 20%, Atlético Choloma 16%.
Safer route: Lobos Upnfm or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Lobos Upnfm to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lobos Upnfm or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Atlético Choloma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lobos Upnfm64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Atlético Choloma16%fair 6.15 · @3.60
2.56Expected goals
1.80Lobos Upnfm xG
0.75Atlético Choloma xG
44%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.8 – 0.8 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is Lobos Upnfm or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlético Choloma 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
