Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.97
CD Motagua vs Génesis preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees CD Motagua take on Génesis on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Génesis sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Alianza 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Génesis's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Juticalpa 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished CD Motagua 2–1 Génesis. Across their last 3 meetings CD Motagua have won 2, Génesis 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for CD Motagua and 0.9 for Génesis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 62%, draw 19%, Génesis 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Motagua to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: CD Motagua 1–0 Génesis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua62%fair 1.62 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.75
Génesis19%fair 5.20 · @4.60
2.67Expected goals
1.81CD Motagua xG
0.86Génesis xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.8 – 0.9 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Génesis?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Génesis 19%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Génesis?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Génesis?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Génesis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Génesis?
CD Motagua vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
