Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka preview and prediction
The match
HNK Rijeka travel to face Vrbovec in the Cup on Wednesday 16 September (15:30 WAT).
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 1.3 for Vrbovec and 3.1 for HNK Rijeka. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vrbovec 12%, draw 13%, HNK Rijeka 74%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Vrbovec 1–3 HNK Rijeka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vrbovec12%fair 8.07 · @29.00
Draw13%fair 7.60 · @11.00
HNK Rijeka74%fair 1.34 · @1.06
4.40Expected goals
1.27Vrbovec xG
3.13HNK Rijeka xG
58%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–28%
0–36%
1–46%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Vrbovec 1.3 – 3.1 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
74%
1.34
1.06
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.55
–
Form
Vrbovec – last 1
W
26 Aug
vs Daruvar
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
HNK Rijeka – last 6
DWDLWL
12 Sep
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs NK Osijek
4–1
W
31 Aug
@ HNK Gorica
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs FC Midtjylland
1–4
L
23 Aug
vs Istra 1961
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ FC Midtjylland
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vrbovec and HNK Rijeka.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers Vrbovec have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 13% and HNK Rijeka 74%.
How many goals will there be in Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is Vrbovec 1–3 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka?
Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kustosija1
Bsk Bijelo Brdo2