Value bet: Kustosija to win @ 2.88 – our chance 45% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKustosija to win ✗45% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo preview and prediction
The match
Bsk Bijelo Brdo travel to face Kustosija in the Cup on Wednesday 16 September (15:30 WAT).
Form guide
Kustosija's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with HNK Cibalia 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Opatija 3–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Kustosija and 1.6 for Bsk Bijelo Brdo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Kustosija to win at 2.88 – 45% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kustosija 2–1 Bsk Bijelo Brdo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kustosija45%fair 2.24 · @2.88
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Bsk Bijelo Brdo35%fair 2.86 · @2.25
3.34Expected goals
1.78Kustosija xG
1.55Bsk Bijelo Brdo xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Kustosija 1.8 – 1.6 Bsk Bijelo Brdo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kustosija to win✗
45%
2.24
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kustosija / FT Kustosija✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Form
Kustosija – last 6
DLDLWD
12 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Segesta Sisak
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Mladost Ždralovi
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs HNK Zadar
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Dugopolje
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bsk Bijelo Brdo – last 6
WWLDWL
11 Sep
@ Opatija
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs Jadran LP
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs HNK Cibalia
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
1–0
W
30 May
vs Croatia Zmijavci
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kustosija and Bsk Bijelo Brdo.
What is the prediction for Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
On our numbers Kustosija have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bsk Bijelo Brdo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
Our predicted score is Kustosija 2–1 Bsk Bijelo Brdo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vrbovec0
HNK Rijeka6