Value bet: Al Musannah to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIbri to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.58
Al Musannah vs Ibri preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Al Musannah take on Ibri on Thursday 1 October, kicking off at 15:25 (WAT).
Form guide
Al Musannah's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Saham 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Ibri's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Al-Nahda 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ibri arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Al Musannah and 1.3 for Ibri. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Musannah 37%, draw 23%, Ibri 40%.
Value angle: Al Musannah to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Al Musannah 1–1 Ibri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Musannah37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Ibri40%fair 2.52 · @2.15
2.50Expected goals
1.23Al Musannah xG
1.27Ibri xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al Musannah 1.2 – 1.3 Ibri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibri to win✗
40%
2.52
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibri / FT Ibri✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.58
–
Form
Al Musannah – last 5
DLLLL
25 Sep
@ Saham
1–1
D
21 Sep
vs Al-Shabab
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Al Nasr
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Oman Club
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Al-Nahda
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ibri – last 6
DLLWDL
25 Sep
vs Al-Nahda
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Al Seeb
0–3
L
10 Sep
vs Saham
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Smail
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Sohar
0–0
D
23 May
@ Al Seeb
1–7
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Musannah and Ibri.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Al Musannah vs Ibri?
On our numbers Al Musannah have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ibri 40%.
How many goals will there be in Al Musannah vs Ibri?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Musannah vs Ibri?
Our predicted score is Al Musannah 1–1 Ibri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Musannah vs Ibri?
Al Musannah vs Ibri (FA Cup) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 15:25 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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