Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Nasr to win ✗61% · @1.53
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Al Nasr vs Smail preview and prediction
The match
Smail travel to face Al Nasr in the FA Cup on Thursday 1 October (14:30 WAT).
Form guide
Al Nasr's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Fanja 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Smail's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Dhofar 5–5 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Al Nasr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Al Nasr 1–1 Smail.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for Al Nasr and 1.4 for Smail. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Nasr 61%, draw 20%, Smail 18%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Nasr 2–1 Smail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Nasr61%fair 1.63 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.00
Smail18%fair 5.45 · @4.75
3.89Expected goals
2.52Al Nasr xG
1.37Smail xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 2.5 – 1.4 Smail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Smail?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Smail 18%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Smail?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Smail?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 2–1 Smail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Smail?
Al Nasr vs Smail (FA Cup) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.