Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontañeses to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.62
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.33
Montañeses vs Tapachula preview and prediction
The match
The sees Montañeses take on Tapachula on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Montañeses's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Pioneros de Cancún 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tapachula's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Chapulineros 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Tapachula 3–1 Montañeses.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.1 for Montañeses and 1.2 for Tapachula. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Montañeses to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montañeses 2–1 Tapachula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montañeses60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 5.92 · @3.60
Tapachula23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
3.38Expected goals
2.15Montañeses xG
1.23Tapachula xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Montañeses 2.1 – 1.2 Tapachula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montañeses vs Tapachula?
Our pick is Montañeses to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Montañeses vs Tapachula?
On our numbers Montañeses have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tapachula 23%.
How many goals will there be in Montañeses vs Tapachula?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montañeses vs Tapachula?
Our predicted score is Montañeses 2–1 Tapachula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Montañeses vs Tapachula?
Montañeses vs Tapachula () kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportiva Venados1
Pioneros de Cancún4
Irapuato1
Tritons Vallarta0