Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta preview and prediction
The match
Tritons Vallarta travel to face Irapuato in the on Sunday 11 October (01:00 WAT).
Form guide
Irapuato's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Lobos ULMX 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tritons Vallarta's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Lobos ULMX 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Irapuato arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.1 for Irapuato and 0.5 for Tritons Vallarta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Irapuato to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Irapuato 2–0 Tritons Vallarta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Irapuato72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @5.00
Tritons Vallarta8%fair 12.77 · @12.00
2.60Expected goals
2.06Irapuato xG
0.54Tritons Vallarta xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Irapuato 2.1 – 0.5 Tritons Vallarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Irapuato to win✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Double chance
Irapuato or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Irapuato ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Irapuato / FT Irapuato✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
16%
6.36
–
Form
Irapuato – last 6
WWWWDW
27 Sep
vs Lobos ULMX
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Reboceros La Piedad
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Tigres de Alica
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Cordobés
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Tapatío
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tritons Vallarta – last 6
LDLDDW
4 Oct
@ Lobos ULMX
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Tigres de Alica
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Los Cabos United
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Zacatepec 1948
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Deportiva Venados
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Tapachula
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irapuato and Tritons Vallarta.
What is the prediction for Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our pick is Irapuato to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
On our numbers Irapuato have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tritons Vallarta 8%.
How many goals will there be in Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our predicted score is Irapuato 2–0 Tritons Vallarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta?
Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta () kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportiva Venados1
Pioneros de Cancún4
Montañeses2
Tapachula1