Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Montañeses or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Montañeses to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontañeses to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceMontañeses or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.75
Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen preview and prediction
The match
Inter Playa del Carmen travel to face Montañeses in the on Sunday 27 September (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Montañeses's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Celaya 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Inter Playa del Carmen's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Chapulineros 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Montañeses and 0.9 for Inter Playa del Carmen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montañeses 61%, draw 26%, Inter Playa del Carmen 13%.
Safer route: Montañeses or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Montañeses to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Montañeses or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montañeses 1–0 Inter Playa del Carmen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montañeses61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.25
Inter Playa del Carmen13%fair 7.44 · @3.50
2.85Expected goals
1.97Montañeses xG
0.87Inter Playa del Carmen xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Montañeses 2.0 – 0.9 Inter Playa del Carmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montañeses to win✓
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Montañeses or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Montañeses ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montañeses / FT Montañeses✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.75
–
Form
Montañeses – last 6
LLDDWL
20 Sep
@ Celaya
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Racing de Veracruz
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Jaguares de Chiapas
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Deportiva Venados
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Celaya
5–1
W
15 Mar
vs Racing de Veracruz
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Inter Playa del Carmen – last 6
DLLDDW
20 Sep
vs Chapulineros
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Tapachula
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Pioneros de Cancún
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ Tecos
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Tecos
2–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montañeses and Inter Playa del Carmen.
What is the prediction for Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our pick is Montañeses or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
On our numbers Montañeses have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Inter Playa del Carmen 13%.
How many goals will there be in Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our predicted score is Montañeses 1–0 Inter Playa del Carmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen () kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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