Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Tigres de Alica to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres de Alica to win ✗64% · @1.60
Double chanceTigres de Alica or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta preview and prediction
The match
Tigres de Alica host Tritons Vallarta in the on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Tigres de Alica's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Lobos ULMX 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tritons Vallarta's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Los Cabos United 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Tigres de Alica 1–0 Tritons Vallarta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Tigres de Alica and 0.6 for Tritons Vallarta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Tigres de Alica or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tigres de Alica to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tigres de Alica 1–0 Tritons Vallarta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres de Alica64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Tritons Vallarta14%fair 7.35 · @5.00
2.29Expected goals
1.68Tigres de Alica xG
0.61Tritons Vallarta xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Tigres de Alica 1.7 – 0.6 Tritons Vallarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our pick is Tigres de Alica to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?
On our numbers Tigres de Alica have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tritons Vallarta 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our predicted score is Tigres de Alica 1–0 Tritons Vallarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?
Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta () kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.