Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Liverpool Montevideo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Liverpool Montevideo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River preview and prediction
The match
Boston River travel to face Liverpool Montevideo in the Copa Uruguay on Wednesday 2 September (21:00 WAT).
Form guide
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Cerro Largo 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boston River's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Cerro 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Liverpool Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 June 2026, finished Boston River 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Across their last 2 meetings Liverpool Montevideo have won 2, Boston River 0, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Liverpool Montevideo and 0.7 for Boston River. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 60%, draw 25%, Boston River 15%.
Safer route: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Liverpool Montevideo to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Liverpool Montevideo or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool Montevideo60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Boston River15%fair 6.67 · @3.65
2.24Expected goals
1.59Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.65Boston River xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 – 0.7 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✗
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boston River 15%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Central Espanol3
Juventud0
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Deportivo Maldonado2