League Cup · England · Weston Homes Stadium
Peterborough vs Barnsley prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Value bet: Barnsley to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Peterborough 1.9 – 1.8 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Peterborough and Barnsley on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Peterborough have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Barnsley have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.8 goals (1.9 for Peterborough, 1.8 for Barnsley). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Peterborough have won 0, Barnsley have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Barnsley to win at 3.00 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Peterborough to win ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 35% | 2.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Peterborough / FT Peterborough ✗ | 25% | 4.04 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.67 | – |
Form
Peterborough – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Milton Keynes Dons | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Sheffield Wednesday | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs Stevenage | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Blackpool | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Aug | @ Watford | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Mansfield Town | 2–1 | W |
Barnsley – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Plymouth | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Stevenage | 1–5 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Blackpool | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Leyton Orient | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Crewe | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Doncaster | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 17 Feb 2026 | Barnsley v Peterborough | 2–1 |
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Brentford2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Peterborough vs Barnsley?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Peterborough vs Barnsley?
On our numbers Peterborough have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barnsley 37%.
How many goals will there be in Peterborough vs Barnsley?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Peterborough vs Barnsley?
Peterborough vs Barnsley (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Weston Homes Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.