League Cup · England · Portman Road
Ipswich vs Arsenal prediction & analysis
Arsenal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ipswich 1.2 – 2.8 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Arsenal travel as clear favourites – 68% to win, against 13% for Ipswich.
Ipswich have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. Arsenal have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. Arsenal come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (1.2 for Ipswich, 2.8 for Arsenal). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%), 0–2 (7%).
Our pick is Arsenal to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.47. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.83 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arsenal to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Arsenal or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Arsenal ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.56 | – |
Form
Ipswich – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Crystal Palace | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Liverpool | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Manchester United | 2–5 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Leicester | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Sunderland | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Union Berlin | 4–2 | W |
Arsenal – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Sunderland | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Napoli | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Chelsea | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Aston Villa | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Coventry | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Manchester City | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ipswich and Arsenal.
More League Cup predictions
League hub
Peterborough3
Barnsley3
West Ham2
Fulham3
Liverpool3
Tottenham1
Reading1
Brentford2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Arsenal?
Our pick is Arsenal to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Ipswich vs Arsenal?
On our numbers Ipswich have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arsenal 68%.
How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Arsenal?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Ipswich vs Arsenal?
Ipswich vs Arsenal (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Portman Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.