League Cup · England · Anfield
Liverpool vs Tottenham prediction & analysis
Liverpool or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Liverpool to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Liverpool 3.8 – 2.2 Tottenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Liverpool are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 17% for Tottenham.
Liverpool have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Tottenham have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. Liverpool come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 6.0 goals (3.8 for Liverpool, 2.2 for Tottenham). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 3–2 (5%), 4–2 (5%), 3–1 (5%).
In their last 1 meeting, Liverpool have won 0, Tottenham have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Liverpool or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Liverpool to win at 1.75 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Liverpool to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Liverpool or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.44 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 98% | 1.02 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 94% | 1.07 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Liverpool ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–2 ✗ | 5% | 18.20 | – |
Form
Liverpool – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Fulham | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Atletico Madrid | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Ipswich | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Nottingham Forest | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Newcastle | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Como | 0–0 | D |
Tottenham – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Everton | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Nottingham Forest | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Newcastle | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs Charlton | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Brentford | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 15 Mar 2026 | Liverpool v Tottenham | 1–1 |
More League Cup predictions
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Peterborough3
Barnsley3
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Fulham3
Ipswich2
Arsenal4
Reading1
Brentford2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Tottenham?
Our pick is Liverpool or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liverpool vs Tottenham?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tottenham 17%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Tottenham?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
When is Liverpool vs Tottenham?
Liverpool vs Tottenham (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.