Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Atletico Torque take on Cerro Largo on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario. Atletico Torque are 2nd with 28 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Cerro Largo sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Torque's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Danubio 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Cerro Largo's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atletico Torque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Cerro Largo 0–1 Atletico Torque.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Atletico Torque and 0.8 for Cerro Largo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Torque 62%, draw 20%, Cerro Largo 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro Largo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Torque62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.55
Cerro Largo18%fair 5.71 · @5.00
2.53Expected goals
1.76Atletico Torque xG
0.78Cerro Largo xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.8 – 0.8 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cerro Largo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?
Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
