Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC preview and prediction
The match
AEK Athens FC travel to Toumba Stadium in the Cup on Wednesday 28 October (19:30 WAT) to face PAOK.
Form guide
PAOK's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to OFI 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AEK Athens FC's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Panetolikos 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Across their last 3 meetings PAOK have won 0, AEK Athens FC 1, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for PAOK and 1.5 for AEK Athens FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAOK 35%, draw 26%, AEK Athens FC 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAOK35%fair 2.85 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.80
AEK Athens FC39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.46PAOK xG
1.54AEK Athens FC xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: PAOK 1.5 – 1.5 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers PAOK have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AEK Athens FC 39%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.