Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Kalamata to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKalamata to win ✓68% · @1.55
Double chanceKalamata or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓12% · fair 8.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Nestos Chrisoupolis take on Kalamata on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Chrysoupoli Municipal Stadium.
Form guide
Nestos Chrisoupolis's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Olympiakos Piraeus II 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kalamata's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0–5 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kalamata arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Nestos Chrisoupolis and 2.2 for Kalamata. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kalamata to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–2 Kalamata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nestos Chrisoupolis13%fair 7.67 · @5.50
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
Kalamata68%fair 1.47 · @1.55
3.00Expected goals
0.83Nestos Chrisoupolis xG
2.17Kalamata xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0.8 – 2.2 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalamata to win✓
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Kalamata or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Kalamata ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalamata / FT Kalamata✗
45%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
12%
8.54
–
Form
Nestos Chrisoupolis – last 6
WDLLLL
25 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus II
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Kallithea
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Panserraikos
1–2
L
5 Oct
vs Marko
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Niki Volos
0–2
L
21 Sep
@ PAOK II
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kalamata – last 6
LWWLDW
25 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–5
L
18 Oct
vs OFI
4–3
W
12 Oct
@ PAOK
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Panathinaikos
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Larisa
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nestos Chrisoupolis and Kalamata.
What is the prediction for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata?
Our pick is Kalamata to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata?
On our numbers Nestos Chrisoupolis have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kalamata 68%.
How many goals will there be in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata?
Our predicted score is Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–2 Kalamata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata?
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Chrysoupoli Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marko0
Olympiakos Piraeus2
Panathinaikos2
Aris Thessalonikis1
Larisa1
OFI0
PAOK3
AEK Athens FC1