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Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.24Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓69% · @1.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.60

Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk preview and prediction

The match

The Second League Group 4 sees Dinamo Barnaul take on Khimik Dzerzhinsk on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT). Dinamo Barnaul are 6th with 26 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Khimik Dzerzhinsk sit 1st on 56 points (top of the table). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Dinamo Barnaul's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Khimik Dzerzhinsk's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Krylya Sovetov II 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Khimik Dzerzhinsk 3–0 Dinamo Barnaul. Across their last 3 meetings Dinamo Barnaul have won 0, Khimik Dzerzhinsk 3, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.1 for Dinamo Barnaul and 2.5 for Khimik Dzerzhinsk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Dinamo Barnaul 1–2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Dinamo Barnaul16%fair 6.08 · @5.91
Draw15%fair 6.66 · @6.10
Khimik Dzerzhinsk69%fair 1.46 · @1.32
3.58Expected goals
1.11Dinamo Barnaul xG
2.48Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
64%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
1–18%
0–37%
0–17%

From our goals model: Dinamo Barnaul 1.1 – 2.5 Khimik Dzerzhinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓69%1.461.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.36
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.401.24
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.911.62
Half-time resultKhimik Dzerzhinsk ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Khimik Dzerzhinsk / FT Khimik Dzerzhinsk ✓45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.60–

Form

Dinamo Barnaul – last 6

WWWLDW
25 Oct@ Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod2–1W
18 Octvs Krylya Sovetov II2–0W
11 Oct@ KDV1–0W
4 Oct@ Akron II0–2L
25 Sepvs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod2–2D
20 Sep@ Krylya Sovetov II2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Khimik Dzerzhinsk – last 6

WLWWWL
25 Octvs Krylya Sovetov II3–1W
18 Oct@ Akron II3–4L
11 Octvs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod5–0W
4 Oct@ KDV2–0W
27 Sep@ Krylya Sovetov II1–0W
20 Sepvs Akron II1–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Khimik Dzerzhinsk v Dinamo Barnaul3–0
26 Jul 2026Dinamo Barnaul v Khimik Dzerzhinsk0–4
17 May 2026Khimik Dzerzhinsk v Dinamo Barnaul4–1
Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk head-to-head page →

Second League Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khimik Dzerzhinsk221822+4156
2KDV221723+2053
3Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod221345+1843
4Akron II2210210+1232
5Krylya Sovetov II22697-127
6Dinamo Barnaul227510-1926
7Orenburg II22688-426
8Izhevsk22589-223
9Ural II225710-1022
10Rubin Kazan 2224810-1020
11Nosta224612-2818
12Chelyabinsk II224513-1717

More Second League Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

On our numbers Dinamo Barnaul have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Khimik Dzerzhinsk 69%.

How many goals will there be in Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

Our predicted score is Dinamo Barnaul 1–2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.