Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Akron II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Akron II to win @ 1.79 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkron II to win ✓66% · @1.79
Double chanceAkron II or draw ✓86% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.41
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 4 sees Akron II take on Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Akron II are 4th with 32 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod sit 3rd on 43 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Akron II's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to KDV 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Barnaul 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Akron II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 3–2 Akron II. Across their last 3 meetings Akron II have won 2, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1, with 0 draws and 6.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Akron II and 1.1 for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Akron II to win at 1.79 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Akron II or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Akron II 2–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akron II66%fair 1.52 · @1.79
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod14%fair 7.24 · @3.94
3.51Expected goals
2.43Akron II xG
1.08Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Akron II 2.4 – 1.1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our pick is Akron II or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
On our numbers Akron II have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 14%.
How many goals will there be in Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Akron II 2–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.