Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓66% · @1.49
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.61
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod travel to face Khimik Dzerzhinsk in the Second League Group 4 on Sunday 11 October (16:00 WAT). Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st with 56 points from 22 games (top of the table), while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod sit 3rd on 43 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Khimik Dzerzhinsk's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat KDV 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Krylya Sovetov II 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Across their last 2 meetings Khimik Dzerzhinsk have won 1, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Khimik Dzerzhinsk and 0.9 for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–0 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Khimik Dzerzhinsk66%fair 1.53 · @1.49
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.00
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod12%fair 8.28 · @5.94
3.22Expected goals
2.28Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
0.94Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.3 – 0.9 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our pick is Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
On our numbers Khimik Dzerzhinsk have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 12%.
How many goals will there be in Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–0 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
