Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Orenburg II to win @ 1.87 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrenburg II to win ✗60% · @1.87
Double chanceOrenburg II or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Orenburg II vs Ural II preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 4 sees Orenburg II take on Ural II on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Orenburg II are 7th with 26 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Ural II sit 9th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Orenburg II's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Izhevsk 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ural II's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Nosta 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Orenburg II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Ural II 1–1 Orenburg II. Across their last 3 meetings Orenburg II have won 0, Ural II 1, with 2 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Orenburg II and 1.1 for Ural II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orenburg II 60%, draw 22%, Ural II 18%.
Safer route: Orenburg II or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Orenburg II to win at 1.87 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orenburg II or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Orenburg II 2–1 Ural II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orenburg II60%fair 1.67 · @1.87
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Ural II18%fair 5.63 · @3.56
3.21Expected goals
2.12Orenburg II xG
1.09Ural II xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Orenburg II 2.1 – 1.1 Ural II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orenburg II vs Ural II?
Our pick is Orenburg II or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Orenburg II vs Ural II?
On our numbers Orenburg II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ural II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Orenburg II vs Ural II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orenburg II vs Ural II?
Our predicted score is Orenburg II 2–1 Ural II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Orenburg II vs Ural II?
Orenburg II vs Ural II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
