Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.74 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.74Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIzhevsk to win ✓62% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Izhevsk vs Orenburg II preview and prediction
The match
Orenburg II travel to face Izhevsk in the Second League Group 4 on Sunday 4 October (11:00 WAT). Izhevsk are 8th with 23 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Orenburg II sit 7th on 26 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Izhevsk's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Rubin Kazan 2 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Orenburg II's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Nosta 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Orenburg II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 September 2026, finished Orenburg II 3–0 Izhevsk. Across their last 3 meetings Izhevsk have won 0, Orenburg II 2, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Izhevsk and 1.0 for Orenburg II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Izhevsk 62%, draw 17%, Orenburg II 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Izhevsk to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.74, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Izhevsk 2–1 Orenburg II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Izhevsk62%fair 1.62 · @1.74
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @4.42
Orenburg II21%fair 4.80 · @4.00
3.06Expected goals
2.01Izhevsk xG
1.04Orenburg II xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Izhevsk 2.0 – 1.0 Orenburg II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Izhevsk vs Orenburg II?
Our pick is Izhevsk to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.
Who will win Izhevsk vs Orenburg II?
On our numbers Izhevsk have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Orenburg II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Izhevsk vs Orenburg II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Izhevsk vs Orenburg II?
Our predicted score is Izhevsk 2–1 Orenburg II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Izhevsk vs Orenburg II?
Izhevsk vs Orenburg II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
