Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh preview and prediction
The match
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh travel to face Thanh Hóa in the V.League 1 on Friday 30 October (11:00 WAT). Thanh Hóa are 11th with 25 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Thanh Hóa's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Công An Nhân Dân 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Hai Phong 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Thanh Hóa 0–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Thanh Hóa and 1.5 for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thanh Hóa 35%, draw 26%, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thanh Hóa 1–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thanh Hóa35%fair 2.87 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh39%fair 2.55 · @2.90
2.90Expected goals
1.40Thanh Hóa xG
1.50Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Thanh Hóa 1.4 – 1.5 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
On our numbers Thanh Hóa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 39%.
How many goals will there be in Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Our predicted score is Thanh Hóa 1–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (V.League 1) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bắc Ninh1