Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An preview and prediction
The match
Song Lam Nghe An travel to face Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh in the V.League 1 on Saturday 17 October (12:00 WAT). Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh are 8th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Song Lam Nghe An sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Viettel 3–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Song Lam Nghe An's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Ho Chi Minh 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–1 Song Lam Nghe An.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and 0.8 for Song Lam Nghe An. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 61%, draw 22%, Song Lam Nghe An 16%.
Safer route: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–0 Song Lam Nghe An. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Song Lam Nghe An16%fair 6.18 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.75Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
0.75Song Lam Nghe An xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.7 – 0.8 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our pick is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
On our numbers Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Song Lam Nghe An 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our predicted score is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–0 Song Lam Nghe An, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
