Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Hai Phong to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHai Phong to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceHai Phong or draw ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60
Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa preview and prediction
The match
The V.League 1 sees Hai Phong take on Thanh Hóa on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Hai Phong are 7th with 32 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Thanh Hóa sit 11th on 25 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Hai Phong's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Than Quang Ninh 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Thanh Hóa's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Binh Duong 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Hai Phong 3–3 Thanh Hóa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.6 for Hai Phong and 1.7 for Thanh Hóa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hai Phong 55%, draw 23%, Thanh Hóa 21%.
Safer route: Hai Phong or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Hai Phong to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hai Phong or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hai Phong 2–1 Thanh Hóa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hai Phong55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Thanh Hóa21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
4.25Expected goals
2.59Hai Phong xG
1.66Thanh Hóa xG
65%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Hai Phong 2.6 – 1.7 Thanh Hóa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?
Our pick is Hai Phong or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?
On our numbers Hai Phong have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thanh Hóa 21%.
How many goals will there be in Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?
Our predicted score is Hai Phong 2–1 Thanh Hóa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?
Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
